Alex Ariza predicts early Pacquiao KO victory


BAGUIO CITY—There’s no doubt in conditioning expert Alex Ariza’s mind that Manny Pacquiao is going to knock out Juan Manuel Marquez in the early part of their third showdown on November 12 in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Having supervised the pound-for-pound king’s strength and training exercises, Ariza has seen Pacquiao’s development as a stronger, well-rounded fighter.

Ariza now believes Pacquiao will finally be able to finish off Marquez this time. And it will come before the first half of the 12-round fight for Pacquiao’s World Boxing Organization welterweight crown is over.

“It (knockout) will be earlier than you would think,” Ariza said during Pacquiao’s Monday morning exercises at Teachers’ Camp track oval here.

“[Pacquiao] is more complete now. He has much more speed, power and explosiveness.”

Though Marquez has also evolved into a smarter and more cautious fighter, Ariza thinks it won’t be enough to sway the balance in his favor.

“At the end of the day, that (smartness and cautiousness) will not win you the fight,” he said.

Ariza wasn’t in Pacquiao’s corner when he eked out a split decision over Marquez in their rematch on March 3, 2008.

The Colombian came aboard Team Pacquiao before the Filipino superstar’s demolition of David Diaz in 2009 and has been an integral part of the team since then.

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  • Anonymous

    I agree with Ariza because when Manny fought Marquez before, kitang kita na hinihingal sya at bitin ang resistensya.  If we review the tapes since Diaz fight, hindi na sya pagod na pagod kahit umabot sa round 12.  Nag concert pa after the game hahaha…  Conditioning Coach Ariza really helped a lot.

  • Henry Lobo ii

    You bet!!! Let’s not be overly too confident here, though. We all know that Marquez is the greatest contender that Manny had ever faced. Let’s just pray that this fight will end Marquez’s career, and look forward to Manny P. vs Money M…..That’s one helluva fight I’d bet my “Biyenan” with. LOL

  • Anonymous

    It’s not a psychological strategy. To say it bluntly, Ariza’s message is like this: The fight is a big mismatch of the century. It is like a case of flyweight boxer at 130 lbs fighting against welterweight-knock out boxer. Its just “money”. Marquez just wanted to have  a little piece of Pacquiao’s bounty reward even if it means sleeping for 10 seconds after fourth round. It’s a big mismatch in the  beginning and that too is the message of Manny when he started training and said, “Marquez is delicious”.

  • Anonymous

    strategy or not, I agree with ARiza

  • Vince B

    I pity this nation. We are the only people who allow our public officials to focus on sports and being a gameshow host rather than actually being a congressman.

    people are still wondering why this nations is messed up.

  • Anonymous

    You are right, Sakbayan. For that reason, we may sometime doubt if the members of the Team Pacquiao who make prediction regarding their ward’s ability to knockout his opponent at a particular round – much more on the early stage – are really doing good to their ward in his bout. Just like you, I am for a Pacquiao win. I have been following all his fights even before he became a champion. My ultimate wish is for him to put a stop to that loudmouth named Floyd ‘Gay’weather before he finally settles down to serving the Filipino masses as a politician.

  • Anonymous

    While I am 100% for Manny all the way, it is still best not to underestimate any opponent. Predicting early (or late) knockouts puts undue pressure on any fighter which may affect one’s focus. If a knockout is in the offing (be it early or late), then fine. At the end of the day, it is not whether you knocked out your opponent or not but how you gave your all for the fight.

    • Anonymous

      The “propensity” of Team Pacquiao,  or any good boxing trainer for that matter to “predict” the possible outcome of  a fight,  is part of a team’s strategy. The strategy is called psychological warfare. Notice how effective it was on both Clottey’s and Mosley’s  cases. The predictions created so much fear on these two  that all they did to avoid from being knocked out on was to just  steer away from Pacman’s path thus they were  able to survive the full 12 rds. The disadvantage of course is that it tends to be  a very boring fight as the 2 matches with these guys have shown. Expect this to happen also if ever  the Pacman-Mayweather match pushes thru… Guys, bring a pillow with you. At least you are  ready in case some of you fall asleep during this much awaited  fight.   

  • Anonymous

    Ariza’s prediction will come true when Manny will finally be able to dish out his ‘pusong mamon’ when he is up in the ring. Otherwise, this bout will again last till the last round and that braggart Marquez will continue to claim he was cheated. Most of the time, Manny can not seem to distinguish the difference between a sparring partner and the real opponent, especially so when he sees him hurt and bleeding. This time he ought to make it clear to the boxing fans all over the world who the real champion is. Also, he ought to uphold the integrity of the judges who declared him winner in his second bout with Marquez, lest the people will continue to look at these judges as incompetents and or just mere paid hacks. Come on, Manny, show them all who the real Pacman is!

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